In hindsight the number 9 is September. Most recently, the boundary ruptured, causing the 2007 Tocopilla earthquake in northern Chile. Huge earthquake hits Chile On May 21, 1960, the first tremor of a series hits Valdivia, Chile. It's sad, but right now that's the best that we can do. Spirit warned us it was coming the day before.
The segment of the fault zone which ruptured in this earthquake was estimated to be over 700 km (430 mi) long with a displacement of almost 10 meters, or 120 years of accumulated plate movement. Earthquake 7.4, it is really bad, very damaging : I had a visual of a set of crackers circling a mountain or volcano. Probabilistic forecasting concerns the odds at which an earthquake might occur, while the earlier technique of deterministic prediction involves specifying exactly when an earthquake will occur. Today, prediction methods are primarily focused on probabilistic earthquake forecasting, which is the statistical assessment of general earthquake hazard in a given area over a certain time frame. We predicted a 7.4 earthquake and it was 7.5. In my lifetime, they've moved it up twice when nothing happened in the first 15 years of each of those 30 year chunks. It occurred in the afternoon and its resulting tsunami affected southern Chile, Hawaii, Japan, the Philippines, eastern New Zealand, southeast Australia, and the Aleutian Islands in Alaska. The common assumption that the longer the time since an earthquake, the larger the next earthquake slip, seemed not to apply to the giant magnitude 9.5 Chile earthquake of 1960. We also predicted this event for the 27th and it unfolded on the 28th. The 2010 Chile earthquake ... which is the 1960 Valdivia earthquake. Seriously -- "We expect a major devastating earthquake sometime in the next 30 years." There were some seismic precursors, but you cannot know if they are precursors, or just your average small earthquakes until you review the seismograph, *AFTER* the major quake has struck. The 1960 Chilean quake was not predicted. Introduction On the 22nd of May 1960, the world’s largest earthquake which was documented occurred very close to Valdivia, Chile. Yes. The 1960 Valdivia earthquake or Great Chilean Earthquake of 22 May 1960 is to date the most powerful earthquake ever recorded, rating 9.5 on the moment magnitude scale. Predictions: The Gulf Hurricanes Coming. Their prediction accuracy? The earthquake struck with a force of 9.5 magnitude.
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